2026-03-17 15:00 UTC | BLOCK 941017 BITCOIN $74,409 | GOLD $4,974 1. ECB now expected to hike rates in 2026 -- Reuters: markets pricing one to two ECB rate increases as war-driven energy inflation reverses months of easing consensus. -- Global liquidity tightening beyond the Fed; coordinated hawkish shift across three central banks this week pressures all risk assets at BTC $74,409. 2. Bitcoin hits wall at $75K, holds breakout -- CoinDesk confirms $75,000 as hard resistance after war-era high of $75,201; consolidating at $74,409 above prior $74K ceiling. -- Each war drawdown shallower than the last; FOMC decision tomorrow at 2 PM ET is the binary catalyst for $78K breakout or $70K retest. 3. BlackRock tracks shadow voyages through Hormuz -- Weekly note reveals proprietary dashboard monitoring ships disabling AIS transponders to transit strait invisibly under fire. -- Confirms near-wartime shipping baseline; IEA declared largest oil supply disruption in history as ceasefire sinks to 12%, war's lowest.