THE PUETZ CRASH WINDOW IS UPON US The Puetz Crash Window is a market timing theory developed by statistician Steve Puetz. It argues that major market crashes are statistically more likely when a full moon that is also a lunar eclipse follows shortly after a solar eclipse. Puetz observed that eight of history’s largest crashes occurred within six days before to three days after a full moon that fell within six weeks of a solar eclipse. He calculated the odds of that clustering as so small that he labeled it a statistical anomaly and formalized what became known as the “Puetz Crash Window.” Under the framework, markets often peak a few days before the eclipse-linked full moon, drift sideways into the event, and then enter a panic phase lasting two to four weeks. The key setup: • A solar eclipse occurs • The first full moon after is also a lunar eclipse • Markets are already in a bubble or fragile state In 2026, the pattern aligns again. A solar eclipse occurred February 17, 2026. A full moon and total lunar eclipse follows March 3, 2026. Based on Puetz’s model, an idealized market peak would fall 2 to 4 days before the eclipse full moon, placing the high between February 27 and March 2, just before the lunar eclipse trigger date. Of course this not a fundamental or technical indicator and is criticized by many as superstition rather than science. Even Puetz emphasized that eclipses create a high risk window, not a guaranteed crash, and typically only when excess and instability are already present. But there is a vibe in the air...