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Chris Liss17d ago
Very unlikely we will have an Iraq-style war with Iran. Makes zero sense. If Trump were to do this, he'd get destroyed in the midterms, and a democratic would win the white house in 2028 and probably prosecute him and all his friends. He and his admin know this. They know no one who elected him wants an actual war. But "Israel is controlling him!" No. If he were owned by Israel such that he'd be forced to destroy his presidency and imperil his future, he would've sat 2024 out. Assume rational actors and work backwards. Probably the Iranian regime wants to settle, but if they did, they'd have to deal with all the hardliners they empowered. They can't just agree and get away with it. Has to look like they were forced. Just like Trump probably couldn't release the Epstein files given so many of his friends and people he needs for his agenda were/are compromised so he had to outsource to Massie even if Massie isn't in on the game. I could always be wrong, but it's rarely the case that rational actors do things that make no sense. There is always a reason, and not a stupid one like "Israel owns him dude."
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Replies (4)

SweedWick 17d ago
Agree no ground war (like Iraq anyway). Maybe rational actors aren’t all sovereign. And Trump is kinda crazy in how own special way. And compromised, just not sure exactly how. Maybe just emotionally. As we’ve seen, the gears of the US Constitution designed to inhibit this type of unlawful behavior are slow to respond. And no real pressure to stop this so it’s the uniparty that’s behind it here. Which to me indicates not China. But China is cheering this on- each bombing is both a vote in support of their move on Taiwan and one less bomb they have to worry about.
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Chris Liss17d ago
if he were compromised such that he'd destroy his presidency and imperil his future by launching a war that's not even popular with his base he would've sat 2024 out.
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SweedWick 17d ago
But what if everyone said it would be a “cake walk”… again. And he seemed to think his future was imperiled somehow anyway. The whole thing is so fucking tragic.
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Chris Liss17d ago
No one thinks Iran would be a cake walk, and he wouldn't have run had he thought his future would be imperiled.
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