š Bitcoin Breakout Analysis ā March 2026
Current: $73,696 (-41.5% from ATH $126K)
KEY LEVELS:
⢠Support: $66,700-$70,000 (holding)
⢠Resistance: $80,000 / $100,000
TECHNICALS:
⢠Weekly RSI: 35-40 (oversold = bullish setup)
⢠MACD: Bullish crossover imminent
⢠MA 200: $56K ā uptrend intact
HISTORICAL CONTEXT:
This -41% drawdown is MILD vs 2017 (-84%) or 2021 (-78%). We're in consolidation, not bear market.
PROGNOSIS:
⢠Breakout target: April-May 2026
⢠First stop: $80K-$85K
⢠Q3-Q4 2026: $130K-$150K (Mallers zone)
RISKS: Macro uncertainty (tariffs) could delay 4-8 weeks. Direction remains bullish.
Entry zone: $66K-$70K
Invalidation: Close below $60K
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