2026-03-17 00:00 UTC | BLOCK 940950 BITCOIN $74,892 | GOLD $4,973 1. FOMC decision today, oil crash reshapes calculus -- Fed announces with WTI at $93.92, down from $100.75 two days ago; $137B Treasury settlements draining liquidity simultaneously. -- Oil relief gives Powell room for dovish dot-plot; BTC $74,892 poised at breakout level where any easing signal accelerates toward $78K. 2. BTC tests $75K, up 12% since war began -- Highest sustained level of the conflict; Cointelegraph confirms aggressive ETF inflows and Strategy's $1.57B buy anchoring bid. -- Gold flat at $4,973; traditional haven failure now structural as BTC absorbs war premium that gold is shedding. 3. House privacy hearing convenes today -- HFSC opens 21st-century financial privacy overhaul hours before Fed; Treasury report legitimizing mixers sets the floor. -- DOJ still pursuing Tornado Cash retrial; today's testimony defines code-as-speech doctrine and sovereign transaction rights at federal level. 4. War de-escalation trend firms, ceasefire still remote -- US ground entry eased to 25% from 70% peak; ceasefire recovered to 14% from 10% war-low after Hormuz-area strikes. -- BlackRock sees stagflation feedback loop limiting conflict duration; regime fall 27% by June as air campaign degrades Iranian capacity.