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TanukiBTC ⚡2d ago
1/6 Oil ripping. Strait of Hormuz shut. Everyone screaming stagflation. Meanwhile Bitcoin just took back $71k while equities look awful. A lot of people think Bitcoin is ignoring the macro mess. It’s not. If anything, it’s reacting faster than everything else. 🧵
💬 6 replies

Replies (6)

TanukiBTC ⚡2d ago
2/6 First mistake people make: treating Bitcoin like a stock. Stagflation wrecks equities because companies get squeezed — energy costs explode while consumers stop spending. Bitcoin doesn’t have margins, supply chains, or earnings calls. It mostly trades on liquidity.
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TanukiBTC ⚡2d ago
3/6 “But BTC was falling while global M2 was rising after the Oct 2025 crash.” True. That move wasn’t about liquidity though — it was a deleveraging event. ETF outflows + policy fears forced a bunch of leveraged crypto positions to unwind at the same time.
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TanukiBTC ⚡2d ago
4/6 Meanwhile global liquidity never actually stopped expanding. Liquidity doesn’t hit markets instantly. There’s usually a 6–9 month lag between money being created and that money actually flowing into risk assets.
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TanukiBTC ⚡2d ago
5/6 So the liquidity expansion that started late 2025? That’s what markets are starting to feel now. Now layer the oil shock on top. Central banks are in a nasty spot: • Inflation rising • Energy costs spiking • Government debt already massive
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TanukiBTC ⚡2d ago
6/6 Doing a Volcker-style rate hike would break the system. Which leaves them with the option they always end up choosing: more liquidity. If stagflation really sticks around, the market that prices liquidity fastest might keep moving first. And we know how that will end.
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TanukiBTC ⚡2d ago
Why am I telling you all that: BUY BITCOIN NOW. THANK YOURSELF LATER.
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