Everyone is watching the missiles.
Almost nobody is watching the spreadsheets.
The Strait of #Hormuz did not close because of Iran's navy. It closed because seven mutual insurance associations pulled a contractual clause, and overnight, every commercial vessel in the Persian Gulf became legally unable to sail.
Not unwilling. Unable.
The bank requires insurance. The port requires it. The charterer requires it. International law requires it. Remove the policy, and a $500 million floating asset cannot move, even if every military in the region rolls out a red carpet.
#Iran offered conditional passage. The insurance market imposed unconditional paralysis. One mechanism was geopolitical. The other was contractual. Neither side fully controlled the outcome.
The IEA now calls this the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market.
I wrote the full breakdown. Every claim sourced. Every number verified.
The power doesn't sit where the cameras point.
You can read my full article below: nostr:naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzpwy9rgrdl4uafr7ry535590f534r9gyc92prk4xdlqj3fwd3yzapqq2hgt2n8yey5he4w4fkkm2kwe9ksc6zfak5x6ruymr