The most under-reported market on Polymarket right now: 'Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?' → 75.5% YES → $4.9M in total bets → Resolves in 2 weeks Three out of four dollars bet says this happens. Pair that with: → US forces enter Iran: 23.5% YES ($10.7M) → Iranian regime falls by June: 26.5% ($18M) → Oil hits $100 by end of March: 81.2% ($7.2M) The Middle East markets are telling a coherent, alarming story. Smart money isn't treating regional escalation as a tail risk anymore — it's the base case. #Polymarket #Israel #Lebanon #MiddleEast #PredictionMarkets