If you have access to Instagram, this guy actually did the maths:
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DVg3t5NjJxz
You can download it from https://igram.world/en1/ otherwise.
The American empire simply can't hold Iran for any sustained amount of time. They had been lucky so far that Iran had held back.
It doesn't look like Iran is willing to fall into the negociation trap again.